Chapter V: Section 3
Another argument--or rather assertion--of those who say that any increase of the currency, by means of paper--though the paper be equal in value to gold--depreciates the value of the gold, or inflates prices relatively to gold, is this: They assert that, where no other circumstances intervene to affect the prices of particular commodities, such increase of the currency raises the prices of _all_ kinds of property--relatively to gold--in a degree precisely corresponding with the increase of the currency.
This is the universal assertion of those who oppose a _solvent_ paper currency; or a paper currency that is equal in value to gold.
But the assertion itself is wholly _untrue_. It is wholly _untrue_ that an abundant paper currency--that is equal in value to gold--raises the prices of _all_ commodities--relatively to gold--in a proportion corresponding to the increase of the currency. _Instead of doing so, it causes a rise only in agricultural commodities, and real estate; while it causes a great fall in the prices of manufactures generally._
Thus the increased currency produces _a directly opposite effect_ upon the prices of agricultural commodities and real estate, on the one hand, and upon manufactures, on the other.
The reasons are these:
Agriculture requires but very few exchanges, and can, therefore, be carried on with very little money. Manufactures, on the other hand, require a great many exchanges, and can, therefore, be carried on (except in a very feeble way), only by the aid of a great deal of money.
The consequence is, that the people of all those nations, that have but little money, are engaged mostly in agriculture. Very few of them are manufacturers. Being mostly engaged in agriculture, each one producing the same commodities with nearly all the others; and each one producing all he wants for his own consumption, there is no market, or very little market, for agricultural commodities; and such commodities, consequently, bear only a very small price.
Manufactured commodities, on the other hand, are very scarce and dear, for the sole reason that so few persons are engaged in producing them.
But let there be an increase of currency, and laborers at once leave agriculture, and become manufacturers.
As manufactured commodities usually bring much higher prices than agricultural, in proportion to the labor it costs to produce them, men usually leave agriculture, and go into manufacturing, to the full extent the increased currency will allow.
The consequence is that, under an abundant currency, manufactures become various, abundant, and cheap; where before they were scarce and dear.
But while, on the one hand, manufactures are thus becoming various, abundant, and cheap, agricultural commodities, on the other hand, are rising: and why? Not because the currency is depreciated, but simply because so many persons, who before--under a scanty currency--were engaged in agriculture, and produced all the agricultural commodities they needed, and perhaps more than they needed, for their own consumption, having now left agriculture, and become manufacturers, have become purchasers and consumers, instead of producers, of agricultural commodities.
Here the same cause--abundant currency--that has occasioned a _rise_ in the prices of agricultural commodities, has produced a _directly opposite effect_ upon manufactures. It has made the latter various, abundant, and cheap; where before they were scarce and dear.
On the other hand, when the currency contracts, manufacturing industry is in a great degree stopped; and the persons engaged in it are driven to agriculture as their only means of sustaining life. The consequence is, that manufactured commodities become scarce and dear, from non-production. At the same time, agricultural commodities become superabundant and cheap, from over-production and want of a market.
Thus an abundant currency, and a scanty currency, produce directly opposite effects upon the prices of agricultural commodities, on the one hand, and manufactures, on the other.
The _abundant_ currency makes manufactures various, abundant, and cheap, from increased production; while it raises the prices of agricultural commodities, by withdrawing laborers from the production of them, and also by creating a body of purchasers and consumers, to wit, the manufacturers.
On the other hand, a _scanty_ currency drives men from manufactures into agriculture, and thus causes manufactures to become scarce and dear, from non-production; and, at the same time, causes agricultural commodities to fall in price, from over-production, and want of a market.
But whether, on the one hand, agricultural commodities are rising, and manufactured commodities are falling, under an abundant currency; or whether, on the other hand, manufactured commodities are rising, and agricultural commodities are falling, under a scanty currency, the value of the currency itself, dollar for dollar, remains the same in both cases.
The value of the currency, in either of these cases; is fixed, not at all by the amount in circulation, but by its value relatively to gold. And the value of gold, in any particular country, is fixed by its value as a metal, and its value in the markets of the world; and not at all by any greater or less quantity of paper that may be in circulation in that country.
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A New Banking SystemChapter V: Section 3
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