Chapter XVII: Part II: Of Banks (6)
What profit could either the Regent, or Law, have reaped from the success of such an operation? Had the coin been raised to 130 livres the marc, no hurt would probably have ensued, and the same effect would have been produced.
Had matters been left without any change at all, no bad consequences would have followed: these existed only in the heads of the French theorists. There was, indeed, twice as much money in bank notes as in coin, in the whole kingdom of France: and what then?
When the Regent saw the fatal effects of his _arret_ of the 21st of May, he revoked it on the 27th of the same month. On the 29th, he raised the coin to 82 livres 10 sols in the marc, and re-established all the paper at its former denomination: but, as Dutot has said, confidence was gone, and was no more to be recalled. Nothing surprises me, but that she lived so long under such rough management.
Dutot, in talking of this augmentation of the coin, on the 29th of May, to 82 livres 10 sols, says, “This operation was consistent with the principles of public credit, and advantageous. They would have done better had they pushed the augmentation to 135 livres the marc; which would have made the specie of France equal to the sum of bank notes.” These are his words, p. 165.
Are not these very sensible principles, coming from a man who has writ a book, which indeed few people can understand, in order to prove the great hurt of tampering with the coin of France?
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CHAP. XXXII.
_Conclusion of the Missisippi Scheme._
The Regent, persuaded that the blunder of the 21st of May was absolutely irreparable, fell to work next to clear accompts with the company.
He owed them 1600 millions capital, and 48 millions a year of interest upon it.
On the other hand, he had in his possession no less than 400,000 actions, which at 200 livres dividend, which the company was obliged to pay, amounted to 80 millions a year.
How the Regent and the company settled matters, I do not know precisely. This, however, is certain, that by the _arret_ of the 3d of June 1720, the number of 400 000 actions, belonging to the Regent, were burnt; and 24 000 more which had been created by his particular order, the 4th of October 1719, and never delivered to the company, were suppressed.
On the other hand, the company ceded 25 millions a year, of the 48 millions which had been transferred to them.
That sum was constituted anew upon the town-house of Paris, as a fund to be subscribed for by the proprietors of bank notes, at the rate of 2½ _per cent._ or as the French call it at the 40th penny. (Dutot, p. 168.) In consequence of this, 530 millions of bank notes were subscribed for, and paid in, in the month of June 1720.
After the destruction of the 400,000 actions, the credit of the bank notes languished until the 10th of October 1720.
The object for which they were created was now gone. The whole scheme of transferring the King’s debts upon the company vanished in the conflagration of the actions. What was then to be done?
The bank was at an end: 2235 millions of discredited bank notes in circulation, and a small sum of coin to make them good, was a situation which no authority could long support.
The resolution then was taken to put a final conclusion to this great affair; to bid a long farewel to credit and confidence; and to return upon the old system of rents upon the town-house of Paris; and of coming at money in the best way they could.
We shall now see how this was accomplished; and from that form a pretty good guess at the extent of the fraud committed, with respect to the creditors of France; not so much, I think, from any intrinsic defect in the Missisippi scheme, as from the distress the nation was thrown into, by the ignorance of those who over-ruled John Law in conducting it.
We have seen how the actions were reduced to the number of 200,000; we must now give an account of the deplorable fate of the bank notes.
By the _arret_ of 10th of October 1720, all bank notes were entirely suppressed; and it was declared, that after the 1st of December following, they were to have no course whatsoever.
Here follows the arrangement of this great affair, viz. the liquidation of 2 696 400 000 livres of bank notes as regulated by this _arret_.
1_mo_, Of the above total of notes coined, 707 327 460 livres. there remained in the bank at that time, for 2_do_, Subscribed for at 2½ _per cent._ in 530 000 000 June 1720 3_tio_, Carried to the bank by private people 200 000 000 as a fund of credit there 4_to_, Paid in coin by the bank 90 000 000 ————————
This sum of notes was ordered to be burnt by the _arret_ of the 10th of October.
The remainder still in the hands of the public, says the _arret_, was to the amount of 1 169 720 540 livres, and the King declares, that the holders of them might employ them as follows:
1_mo_, In purchasing the remainder of the 470 000 000 livres. subscription of 25 millions of rents on the town-house of Paris, at 2½ _per cent. inde_ 2_do_, In purchasing a farther sum constituted 00 000 000 on the town-house of Paris, of 8 millions of perpetual annuities, at the rate of 2 _per cent._ or at the 50th penny 3_tio_, In purchasing a farther sum constituted 100 000 000 on the town-house of Paris, of 8 millions of life-rent annuities, at 4 _per cent._ or at the 25th penny ———————————— These sums amounted to 970 000 000 Sum above 1 527 327 460 —————————————— Together 2 497 327 460
There still remained outstanding about 200 millions of bank notes.
These were ordered to be disposed of in several different ways, mentioned in the _arret_ of the 10th of October; which it would be needless to mention, as it would require a long explanation to make the thing understood: let it suffice that there was an outlet provided for them, which brought in between 2 and 3 _per cent._
Thus we see the conclusion of the whole affair.
At the beginning, the King’s debts stood at 2000 millions capital, and 80 millions interest very ill paid.
At the end of the scheme there had been coined of 2696 millions. notes about Of which in the bank, October 10, 1720 707 mil. And paid in coin 90 —— This substracted 797 millions. —— There remained outstanding in bank 1899 millions. notes[18] Add to this 100 millions still due by the King to 100 millions. the company for the _billets d’etat_ withdrawn in constituting the first 200,000 actions which still subsisted, and for which the company was to receive 5 _per cent._ So the capital of the King’s debts remained at 1999 millions. Balance gained by the whole operation 1 million. —— Consequently there was little or no fraud as to the 2000 millions. capital
Footnote 18:
There are, however, in France at this day, many persons who are still
in possession of large sums of those notes. This makes some people
believe, that all the paper was called down without any equivalent
given. The reason of those notes remaining, is, that either the
proprietors neglected the occasion offered by the _arret_ of the 10th
of October, or that they were in hopes that perhaps the bank might
again recover its credit. They were mistaken, and the notes are lost.
Let us next examine the state of interest.
The interest at the last was,
1_mo_, Of rents constituted in June 1720, on the
town-house, at 2½ _per cent._ or at the 40th penny 25 millions.
2_do_, Ditto of the 10th of October 1720, at 2
_per cent._ or at the 50th penny 8 millions.
3_tio_, Ditto at ditto upon lives at 4 _per
cent._ or at the 25th penny 4 millions.
4_to_, Due to the company upon the original
stock of 100 millions still paid them at this day
at 5 _per cent._ 5 millions.
5_to_, For the 200 millions of credit at the
bank, suppose at the rate of 3 _per cent._ 6 millions.
6_to_, For the last 200 millions provided for in
different ways, suppose at 2½ _per cent._ 5 millions.
7_to_, Allowed to the company to indemnify them
for the loss they sustained by these arbitrary ways
of reckoning with them, 80 millions at 5 _per
cent._ still paid them 4 millions.
——
57 millions.
The interest at first was 80 millions
The interest at last was 57 millions
——
Defrauded by the scheme 23 millions a year.
This is (as near as I can guess at it) the state of the French bankruptcy in 1720.
The creditors were _robbed_ of 23 millions a year. I call it _robbed_, because the interest due to them was diminished by that sum, without their consent, and in consequence of the most arbitrary proceedings; whereas, had the system been conducted with ability, the whole of the debts would have been brought to an interest of 48 millions, instead of 57, and no body would have complained of injustice.
Money likewise might have been brought to 2 _per cent._ The 1600 millions borrowed of the company at 3 _per cent._ would then have been reduced to two; which would have brought the 48 millions of interest, upon the whole, to 32 millions: and France, from being reduced to beggary by the King’s wars, would have become the most flourishing state in Europe.
Let us next guess at what may reasonably be supposed to have been the largest sum of coin ever collected in this bank.
I imagine that the far greater part of all the coin supposed to be in France during the Missisippi scheme, remained in private hands, without ever coming into the bank. My reason for being of this opinion is,
Law never could have had more than the value of his original stock, and all the value of notes he had in circulation.
It is absurd to imagine he ever should have had the half, or near it; but let me suppose it,
The bank stock was 6 millions.
The notes he issued were 59 millions.
——
In all 65 millions.
This is a trifle compared with 1200 millions.
Next for the united bank. The time at which the greatest quantity of coin was collected, must have been when all credit failed, that is, on the 21st of May 1720.
At that time coin was taken out of commerce: every one was forbid to have above 500 livres in possession; and every operation had been used to call it in.
At this time, we know that all the notes coined were issued, except to the value of 461 316 410 livres.
Now we have seen that on the 10th of October following, there were in the bank to the value of 707 327 460 livres.
Let me, therefore, suppose, that from the 21st of May to the 10th of October, the bank paid away in coin, the difference between these
two sums; to wit, 246 011 050 livres. Add to that sum what was then in the bank, viz. 90 000 000 ————————— Sum 336 011 050
This sum is all we possibly can suppose to have been in the bank on the 21st of May, when credit failed.
We must reckon this sum of coin at 82 livres 10 sols _per_ marc, the then value; which makes about 8 146 600_l._ sterling. A large sum, no doubt; but little more than ⅕ of 40 millions sterling, the value of 1200 millions of livres, at 60 to the marc, as has been said. Consequently, either those 40 millions sterling were not then in France, or the greatest part of the sum had remained in private hands during this whole operation.
In this light I see the Missisippi scheme. I may, no doubt, be mistaken in many things: the lights, or rather the glimmerings, by which I have been conducted through this inquiry, must plead my excuse.
But it is not so much facts as principles, I have been investigating through this whole disquisition; and the imperfect account I have been able to give of the _former_, will at least point out, I hope, the notions which the French nation, at that time, had of the _latter_. If the contrast between French principles, and those I have laid down, tend to cast any light upon the subject of paper credit in general, my end is accomplished: if they ever prove of use to mankind, I shall not think my labour lost.
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CHAP. XXXIII.
_Why Credit fell, and how it might have been supported._
I shall now make a few general observations upon the total and sudden fall of credit in France in May 1720: and I shall suggest the means by which, I think, it might have been sustained, even after all the preceeding mismanagement.
Was it any wonder that the French should be astonished at this prodigious revolution, at this immense value of paper on the 21st of May, and at the total discredit of every bit of it the day following?
If there was a value, said they, what is become of it? If there never was any value, how could a nation be so deceived? This phænomenon has puzzled many a head; but the nature and principles of credit furnish an easy solution of it.
In deducing the principles of credit, we have shewn _that a permanent and well secured fund of interest is always equal in value to a corresponding capital_.
The difference between a _permanent_ and _well secured fund_, and a _precarious_ and _ill secured fund_, consists in this, that the first never can disappear, and the other may.
Now the fund, in this case, was at first _real_ and did exist; but it was rendred precarious, by a blundering administration: then credit failed, and in that convulsion, the fund of interest was fraudulently diminished by an act of power.
Had the true principles of credit been understood in France, the bank notes and actions might have been supported, even after the _arret_ of the 21st of May: and all the monstrous value of paper, raised so high by the low rate of interest, might have been preserved: consequently that value, in capital, _really existed_ relatively to the rate of interest.
As the object of the present disquisition into the principles upon which the Missisippi scheme was conducted, is only intended as an illustration of the principles of credit in general; I shall first account for the wonderful phænomenon above mentioned, and then shew how, in the greatest of all the French distress, their credit might have been re-established in a more solid manner than ever.
As to the wonderful phænomenon of the prodigious _wealth_ created by the system, and annihilated in one day, I answer, that there had been no creation of wealth at all, except in consequence of the fall of interest.
1_mo_, We have seen that at the death of the late King of France, the interest of his debts amounted to 80 millions. Was not this a fund which ought to have been made solid and permanent? Will any man say, that a regular plan of paying this interest was a means of creating new wealth? Certainly not.
2_do_, These debts were secured by _contracts of constitution of annual rents upon the town-house of Paris_: a security taken in the name of a particular creditor, which requires a form of law to transfer.
By the scheme we have been explaining, all these securities were changed: and instead of constitutions of rent, bank notes, in which the King was equally debtor, were given.
Will any man say, that this was the means of either increasing or diminishing the wealth of France? Certainly not. A man who has a good bond in his pocket is as rich before it is paid with bank notes as after: but he has not so much money in his hands; because the bond is not _money_, and the notes are.
3_tio_, We have said that the interest of the King’s debts amounted to 80 millions a year, at 4 _per cent._
We have seen how the company of the Indies were provided with a fund equal to this sum, arising from the 48 millions which the King paid for the loan of the paper with which the debts were to be paid, and from many other lucrative branches of revenue; which instead of being burthensome to the King, were, on the contrary, a means of augmenting his income, by the advanced rent the company gave for the different farms which produced them.
Had the public creditors, therefore, vested their claims in actions, they would, in consequence of that operation, have become sharers in the fund of 80 millions a year, administred by themselves, (and they would then have been the company) open to be improved by trade abroad, and by a good administration at home.
Had this system been carried on in a plain easy way, consistently with common sense, the public creditors would have been paid; the King’s revenue augmented; and it would have been put under a good and a cheap administration.
But when, by the absurd operations of changing the denominations of coin and paper, and wantonly playing with every man’s property, the creditors saw themselves standing on the brink of a precipice; and finding, instead of a good contract on the town-house of Paris, a bank note put into their hands, which might be diminished in its value by one half every month, while at the same time the coin might be raised to double, it was very natural to suppose, that the intention of the King’s ministers was to withdraw from them totally these 80 millions, less or more, to which they were entitled: in which case, there was an annihilation indeed of all the notes; but there was no annihilation of wealth: for in that case, the wealth was still the same, only it was transferred from the creditors to the King the debtor: that is, the creditors were defrauded.
On the other hand, stood the proprietors of the actions sold. These were in use to make a traffic of buying and selling the 200,000 actions which had been in their hands ever since September 1717, when they were first created. For we have shewn, that the posterior creation of actions by the united company, was a mere delusion, as they were all found in the custody of the Regent. The actions, I say, were immediately put into a state of stagnation; because of the discredit cast upon the bank notes, with which it had been usual to buy them.
4_to_, I must observe, that the stagnation of a paper which carries no interest, is equal to a temporary annihilation. The holder then is deprived of the use of his money; and he is not paid for the loss he sustains.
If, therefore, it had been possible to have given a new activity to this bank paper, without allowing it to die away, as it were, in this temporary fit of fainting, credit would have revived: all accompts would have been kept clear, for this is the use of paper money, and so short a shock would hardly have been felt.
But the great damage resulting to the public, upon every occasion of this kind, proceeds from the _delay_ in applying the proper remedy. When any paper is discredited, it immediately falls in its value. The person then who is the original and real creditor for the whole value, and in whose hands the paper is when it suffers the discredit, sells at discount: this is an irretrievable loss to him; and when the paper recovers its credit again, either in part, or on the whole, the profit then belongs to the person who had bought it at discount, and does not go to indemnify the real sufferer.
This was the case with respect to the notes of the French bank: they were allowed to languish from the 21st of May that they were discredited, until the 10th of October, when their fate was decided, as has been said.
Farther, we have seen, that this whole movement of credit had for its basis 80 millions a year, originally paid to the creditors for their interest. This sum answered to the capital of 2000 millions; because at the old King’s death, interest was fixed at 4 _per cent._
When, by the operations of the system, all this capital was turned into money, that is, bank notes, the regorging plenty of it made interest fall to 2 _per cent._ consequently, the capital, which constantly draws its value from the interest paid for it, rose to 4000 millions. We have said that the total value of the paper rose to 6000 millions; but we must reflect, that above 2000 millions of these 6000 millions was in bank notes, and employed in buying of actions. So that both the notes and the actions must not be reckoned as existing together.
Had the Regent sold the actions, he would have burnt 2000 millions of bank notes, and thus the value in paper would have remained at 4000 millions, so long as interest remained at 2 _per cent._; and had interest fallen still lower, and dividends remained at 200 livres _per_ action, the value of actions, and consequently of this capital of 4000 millions, would have risen in proportion, just as the value of the capital of the debts of Great Britain rises and falls according to the rate of money; although the same sum of interest be paid to the creditors at all times.
This augmentation, therefore, upon the value of all capitals, during the Missisippi, of lands as well as actions, was in consequence of the fall of interest, and from no other artifice whatever. Lands in France, at that time, sold at 80 and 100 years purchase. [Dutot, Vol. II. p. 200.]
When credit failed, and when all the circulating paper was thrown into a state of stagnation, interest rose, in proportion to the deficiency of the supply for the demands of borrowers. The value of capitals then diminished. But this might have happened from another cause, had there been no bankruptcy, or intention to defraud the creditors: a war might have produced it; or any circumstance which might have raised the rate of interest.
The rise, therefore, upon capitals, from the fall of interest, I consider here as no acquisition of wealth: I reckon wealth to be that which is the annual produce of the capitals.
So much for the resolution of this wonderful phænomenon.
I must now shew that in the height of the distress, the confidence of the public was still to be regained, and credit recovered, even after the fatal _arret_ of the 21st of May 1720.
I lay it down as a principle, _that whoever has a sufficient fund, and pays interest regularly for the money he owes, runs no risk of losing his credit_.
So soon, therefore, as the Regent found that by his _arret_ of the 21st of May, all credit had disappeared; had he, upon the 27th of the same month, or at the time he raised the coin to 82 livres 10 sols _per_ marc, ordered all bank notes presented to the bank, either to be paid in coin, or marked in the books of the bank as bearing interest at 2 _per cent._ I say, credit would not have suffered in any comparison to what it did. No body then would have sold a note at discount; and had it been necessary, he might have ordered the interest to be paid monthly.
The authority I have for this opinion is Dutot, who says, that upon opening the subscription of 25 millions in the month of June, the notes fell in their value 11½ _per cent._ only.
Now the rate of this subscription was at 2½ _per cent._ as we have seen; consequently, if 100 livres of notes lost but 11½ _per cent._ they were worth 88½ livres in coin; but these 100 livres in notes were worth 2½ _per cent._ because the subscription was open at that rate: consequently 88½ livres in coin was also worth 2 livres 10 sols _per annum_: consequently interest, at that time, was at 2.825 _per cent._ that is, below 3 _per cent._ even after the bankruptcy.
Where then was the great harm? Where was the occasion to fly immediately to the destruction of actions, which were in the Regent’s own hand? A little patience, and good management, would have set all to rights.
I would, therefore, have left the notes in circulation under this regulation, viz. that such as should be presented to the bank should have had a transfer of 2 _per cent._ paid quarterly; or a value, in actions, at 10,000 livres _per_ action; which is the capital answering a dividend of 200 livres at 2 _per cent._ at the option of the holder: and in case interest had come to fall still lower, the price of actions might have been augmented.
I would have set before the public a full and exact account of the company’s funds. I would have banished all mystery from the affairs of credit. I would have registred a declaration in parliament, setting forth,
1_mo_, That all future changes either upon the denominations of paper or coin, were contrary to the maxims of good government.
2_do_, That all stipulations between the King and his creditors were to be inviolable. And,
3_tio_, That the parliament of Paris should for ever remain invested with an exclusive right to watch over those regulations in time to come; and I would have bound the parliament by a special oath for that purpose. I would even have had the King to take the same oath: and he might have ratified it at his coronation in 1725.
By these steps I should have vested a new power in the Kings of France which they never had before: a power of having money from their subjects, from their allies, and from their enemies: a power they have not, nor ever will have, until the principles of credit be better understood among them.
Had such a plan been followed, I have not the least doubt, but that, 1. The actions would have been sold at a very great advanced value above the standard of 5000 livres, at which the Regent had bought them: 2. That money would have come back to 2 _per cent._ and then, 3. Had banks been established upon a proper plan, ease, with industry, would long ere now have appeared in every corner of that kingdom.
How infinitely more easy would it have been to establish such a plan in 1720 than at present? At that time the most difficult part of the whole was executed. The creditors had taken notes for their claims: the credit then was given. There was nothing to be done but to support it. The creditors were then at the mercy of the state: at present the state is at the mercy of the creditors. Were such operations on coin to take place at present, as were then familiar; were the King at present to attempt to turn the constitutions of rent, perpetual and life-annuities, into any other form than what they have, the credit of France would be undone for a long time; and who knows what views of ambition a situation so deplorable might not stir up in certain courts of Europe.
What state would pay its debts, if it _durst_ do otherwise? And what state can diminish its debts in any other way than by lowering the interest upon them? But of this more in the proper place.
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CHAP. XXXIV. _How the diminishing the Denomination of the Paper in Circulation, by the arret of the 21st of May 1720, destroyed the Credit of France, when the same arbitrary Measures taken, with regard to the Coin, had produced no such Effect._
This question is curious, and I shall endeavour to resolve it in the best way I can, before I conclude this subject.
The first thing to be done is to point out the immediate effects which resulted upon diminishing the denomination of the paper; because the destruction of the credit of France was not the immediate consequence of this _arret_; but the ultimate effect of a chain of consequences which followed indeed very quick upon one another.
The paper had been declared, against the opinion of Mr. Law, by an _Arret de Conseil_ of the 22d of April 1719, _une monnoie fixe_, as has been said. Consequently, any diminution of its denomination was a plain infraction of the public faith. From this declaration in the _arret_ of the 22d of April 1719, the public reaped one notable advantage, which was, that in borrowing and lending paper, every one was sure that the obligations contracted could be dissolved by restoring the very same species of property which had been received; but by diminishing the denomination of it, by the _arret_ of the 21st of May 1720, all such as were debtors, became obliged to discharge their debts at the expence of double the sum of paper borrowed.
The immediate consequence, therefore, of touching the denomination of the paper, was, to shew the public that their fortunes in paper were liable to the same inconveniences as fortunes in specie; that is, that they might be increased or diminished at pleasure. Upon this it was very natural for every one to endeavour to realize his paper, and put it into coin: since, _in pari casu_, it was better to have it in that which had some intrinsic value, than in that which had none at all.
Of all the French paper, the notes were the most easily realized; because there was contained in them a direct obligation upon the bank to pay them in coin. The actions again were more difficult to be converted; because in order to realize them, it was necessary to find people who were willing to give either notes or coin for them.
A run upon the bank, therefore, taking place, upon the _arret_ of the 21st of May, it was obliged to stop payment: this occasioned a general alarm, and _destroyed the confidence which the public had had in the state_, which is what we mean by _public credit_.
This point explained, it remains to shew why the augmentations and diminutions upon the specie should not have ruined the credit of the paper.
1_mo_, The operations upon the specie affected the paper only indirectly; but the diminution upon the paper affected it directly.
The operations upon the specie only affected that part of the paper which was made to circulate as an equivalent for the specie; or in other words, that part which people realized, either, 1. with an intention to withdraw their funds altogether out of the scheme; or 2. to profit of the operations upon the specie; or in the last place, to procure small sums of money for common expences.
Now as to the first, the number of those who wished to withdraw their stocks were inconsiderable, in proportion to the stock-jobbers; and therefore their interest could not affect the general credit; and the last was inconsiderable in every respect.
As to the second, the government made it very difficult for the proprietors of notes to profit of the operations upon the coin. When it was to be diminished, the diminutions were advertised some time before they took place, and the diminution went on always by degrees. Thus people who had paper, with which they could trade in buying actions, constantly rising in their value, by the intrigues of the state, when at the same time the denominations of the coin were diminishing, did not carry their notes to the bank for two reasons.
The first, that the paper really gained by every diminution upon the denomination of the specie, in an exact proportion to the diminution. A livre in a bank note, while the specie was diminishing by intervals from 80 livres the marc to 65 the marc, gained regularly in the hands of the possessor; whereas had he realized at any period but the last, the subsequent diminutions upon the specie he had acquired with his paper would have affected the value of it.
The second was, that by realizing he deprived himself of the profit of stock-jobbing.
The only way, therefore, for the proprietors of the paper to gain by the operations of the state upon the coin, was to guess the time when the coin was to be raised in its value: but this was impossible; for the rising was sudden and unexpected; whereas notice was constantly given of the fall, at some distance of time.
For example, the money was suddenly raised the 5th of March 1720, from 60 livres to 80 livres the marc; and the 11th of the same month, notice was given, that on the 1st of April following, it was to be brought down again to 70 livres _per_ marc; and on the first of May following, to 65 livres. The consequence of this was, that from the 11th of March, people were glad to carry money to the bank for notes, which were to stand at the same denomination, whereas the silver was to diminish on the 1st of April.
Accordingly a great sum, above 44 millions, was brought in during this interval.
When the 1st of April came, and that the silver was brought to 70 livres the marc, those who were in possession of the paper, were still prevented from realizing; because of the future diminution which was to take place. When this term was come, people had reason to imagine that the silver would for some time stand at 65 livres the marc; consequently, there was more to be gained in stock-jobbing with the notes, than in realizing them in specie, which, in order to make profit of it, must have lain dead until a new augmentation; which was a very uncertain event. In short, there was no run upon the bank from the 1st to the 21st of the month of May, when the famous _arret_ in question was given. Then indeed the run came on with violence, and payment was stopt.
2_do_, The second reason why the effects were different when the state changed the denomination of the coin, from what they proved to be when the denomination of the paper was changed, I take to be this,
That in France the operations upon the coin had been familiar; and were expected by every body: and, perhaps, the very making the paper a _monnoie fixe_, had for this reason added to the credit of it. A most surprizing thing! The state took care always to gain, whether they raised, or whether they diminished the value of the coin. The stock-jobbers, therefore, never minded the coin at all. If they could profit by an augmentation by foreseeing it, they realized; if they could see a diminution before notice was given of it, then they bought paper.
The operations on the coin principally affected such as were either respectively debtors or creditors, to people who were obliged to pay, or to receive their debts in specie; or who had a fixed revenue specified in a number of livres. There the disorder was great, as has been frequently observed.
3_tio_, The operations upon the specie never could destroy the intrinsic value of it, however they might prevent the circulation of it for a fixed legal denomination; therefore it remained under all combinations of circumstances, a thing valuable to be acquired; and it still remained a commodity, desireable by all, and was therefore constantly demanded.
But a discredit cast upon the paper had a different effect. The value _there_ depended entirely upon the will of the state, and every body saw that it was as easy to annihilate it, as to reduce it to one half. The discredit, therefore, had the effect of stopping _the demand for it_, that is, the currency; consequently, a run upon the bank immediately took place.
4_to_, The rendring the value of the paper precarious, made every possessor of it seek to realize it without delay. The proprietors of the bank notes ran to the bank; and a run upon the bank, at a time when it could offer payment for the notes in no other value than actions, was a declaration of bankruptcy. Now it was the run upon the bank; it was this claim which the subjects had a right to make upon the bank, for which the King was guarantee, which destroyed the credit of France; and it is very evident that no operation upon the specie could possibly produce any such effect[19].
Footnote 19:
It was a capital mistake in this diminution upon the paper to make it
gradual. Was it not evident that every mortal would seek to realize a
note which was to diminish in its value progressively every month? A
note worth 10,000 livres, for example, the 22d of May, was immediately
reduced to 8000 livres, and the 1st of July, was to be worth only
7500. This was plainly solliciting a run upon the bank. The stroke
should have been struck at once.
In short, had this operation upon the paper been suspended for a few months; had the people of France been indulged in a little more time, their infatuation in favour of the actions would have carried them to employ all their bank notes in the purchase of those which remained in the hands of the state. By this operation the far greater part of the notes might have been withdrawn and destroyed, and when the bank found themselves in a situation to answer the call of all those which afterwards remained in circulation, then the state might have boldly ventured to diminish the price of actions: because if that stop had occasioned a run upon the bank for the outstanding notes, there would have been coin enough to answer them at their full value; and this would have confirmed the credit of the bank more than any thing.
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CHAP. XXXV.
_How a Bank may be safely established in France, as Matters stand at
present._
The prerogative of the Kings of France is limited by no written law, because he is acknowledged to be the legislature of his kingdom; and the exercise of his power is only limited by maxims of state. The first of which is, that he is to govern according to his laws, and not according to his ambulatory will.
Now, in making of laws, the parliament have a sort of negative, _de facto_; because the whole regular and legal execution of every law is committed to them: and if they refuse to register it, they refuse to execute it; and a law without _execution_ is, in fact, no law at all.
When the King’s will can be carried into execution by a single act of power, the authority of parliament is of no effect in preventing it. When this requires a train of systematical administrations, the concurrence of parliament, who hold the whole regular execution of the laws, is absolutely necessary.
Banks of deposit and of circulation, stand, it must be confessed, upon a very precarious footing, under such a government.
An order from the King is at any time sufficient to command any deposit of specie which can be made within the kingdom. While this is the case, no paper can have any solidity, which draws its security from such deposit.
Coin, therefore, must be banished from all banks in France: and the use of them should be entirely limited to that of an office, for the keeping of reckonings between people who have solid property, and who may want, on a thousand occasions, to melt it down in favour of consumption, trade, industry, agriculture, or the like.
In this light, a general bank may be established at Paris; and branched out over the whole kingdom. The stock of it should consist in land property, engaged unalienably, to make good the engagements of the bank.
Notes should be issued upon solid security, bearing no interest while they circulate as money; and when they return upon the bank, either the original securities may be withdrawn, or payments might be made by the transfer of a corresponding perpetual interest.
Every province, every considerable city in the kingdom, should be allowed to be interested in such a bank: and in every considerable city, there should be an office for transacting such credits, and for regularly receiving all payments of interest. If the King should think fit to allow his mint to supply coin, or bullion, for bank notes presented, at a determinate premium, he might by this operation advance the commercial interests of his kingdom, in facilitating the payments of a wrong balance of foreign commerce: but without that regulation, the bank will be perfectly sufficient for promoting and supporting domestic circulation. Every one who is able to give security for a certain interest, will be sure to find money: and as the expence of conducting such a bank will be very small, the interest for money will be very low.
As I said before, a bank of this kind would be no more than an office, appointed for keeping accounts between people who are possessed of any paper secured upon real and solid property: and farther, in the beginning, at least, I would not advise to carry it.
The general accompt of the bank would appear in a few articles, viz. Credits given, so much; _inde_ of interest to be received, so much.
Notes returned, so much; _inde_ of interest to be paid, so much; balance in favour of the bank, so much.
A bank of this nature would answer every purpose for promoting industry and domestic circulation.
Such a bank must neither issue, or ever receive coin in payment.
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CHAP. XXXVI.
_Of Banks of deposit and transfer._
I now dismiss the subject of banks of circulation. The unspeakable advantages drawn from this institution, when properly regulated, in supplying money at all times to those who have property, for the encouragement of industry, and for improvements of all sorts, and the bad consequences which result to society, from the abuse they are exposed to, has engaged me, perhaps, in too long a discussion of particular combinations of circumstances relating to them.
I now come to treat of banks of deposit or of transfer of credit: an institution of the greatest utility for commerce.
These two species of banks differ essentially in two particulars.
1_mo_, That those of circulation serve the purpose of melting down unwieldy property into money; and of preserving the quantity of it at the proportion of the uses found for it. Those of deposit, are calculated to preserve a sum of coin, or a quantity of precious moveables, as a fund for carrying on the circulation of payments, with a proportional value of credit or paper money secured upon them.
2_do_, In the banks of circulation, the fund upon which the credit is built, is not _corporeally_ in the custody of the bank; in the other it is.
The fundamental principle, then, of banks of deposit, is the faithful preservation of the fund delivered to the bank, upon which credit, in money, is taken for the value.
If at any time a bank of deposit should lend, or should, in any wise, dispose of any part of this fund, which may consist of coin, bullion, or any other precious moveable, once delivered to them, to the end that a credit in money may be writ down for it in their books of transfer, in favour of the depositor, and his assigns; by that act, the bank departs from the principles upon which it is established. And if any bank is established which, by their regulations, may so dispose of the fund of their credit, then such a bank becomes of a mixed nature, and participates of that of a bank of circulation.
These things will be better understood by reasoning from an example of a true bank of deposit.
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CHAP. XXXVII.
_Of the Bank of Amsterdam._
Many authors have written concerning this great bank of deposit: particularly, Davenant, Sir William Temple, Ricard, in his _Traité de Commerce revu par Struyk_, the author of the _Essay sur le Commerce_, and Mr. Megens, in his book, which has been translated into English, under the title of _The Universal Merchant_.
In these authors we find a number of facts, which I shall combine with my own informations, and here apply principles to them; in order to communicate a distinct idea of this establishment. A detail of its particular operations regards practice, and falls not within my subject.
The original intention of the States of Holland, in establishing the bank of Amsterdam, was to collect a large capital in coin within that city, which might there perpetually remain, buried in a safe repository for the purposes which we are now to explain.
In order to accomplish this plan, they established the bank upon the 31st day of January 1609.
The method they fell upon to collect the coin, was to order, that all bills of exchange, for any sum exceeding 300 florins, should be paid in specie to the bank; and that the holder of such bills should, instead of receiving the coin, have the value of it writ down in the books of the bank to his credit, at his command, to be transferred to any person he should appoint; but never more to be demandable from the bank in specie.
By this operation, the mass of coin circulating constantly from hand to hand, between the merchants of Amsterdam, began, by degrees, to be heaped up in the bank; and as the heap augmented, so did the sum of credit augment upon the books of the bank.
It is evident, from this change in the mode of circulation, that no loss could be incurred from the locking up of the coin.
As long as coin is in a state of constant circulation, it can produce no interest to any person. Interest commences from the moment the coin begins to stagnate; that is to say, so soon as it comes into the hands of one who has no ready money demand upon him. When this happens the proprietor lends it at interest.
Now the credit in the books of the bank, which is every day transferable at the bank, answers every purpose of coin, either for _payment_ or _loan_: and the proprietor has neither the trouble of receiving the species, nor any risk from robbery, or false coin.
The first advantage the city reaped from this institution, was, to secure the residence of trade in that place.
Capitals transferable only at the bank, laid the proprietors under a necessity of fixing their dwelling where their funds were, and where only they could be turned to accompt.
It had another excellent effect in commerce: it pointed out the men of substance. A credit in bank is no wise equivocal: it is a fund of undoubted security.
From the constitution of this bank we may form an estimate of the extent of the deposit.
It can only swallow up a sum equal to what is necessary for circulating the payments of the city of Amsterdam. Were a sum exceeding that to be shut up in the bank, and were the credits written in the books of the bank to exceed that proportion, it is plain, that the value of the bank money would sink immediately. The reason is obvious: the credits transferable are of no use to those who have no occasion to transfer; that is, to pay, lend, or exchange at Amsterdam. So soon, then, as all the demand of Amsterdam is satisfied, the proprietors of the overplus will seek to realize their superfluous credit, in order to invest the value arising from it, in some other place where a demand may arise.
In order to realize, they must sell their bank credit for coin; because the bank pays only in transfer. Coin then would be demanded preferably to credit in bank; consequently, coin would rise in its proportional value to bank money, or bank money would lose, which is the same thing. This fluctuation between bank money and coin, leads me to explain what is called the agio of the bank.
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CHAP. XXXVIII.
_Of the Agio of the Bank of Amsterdam._
We have pointed out one motive for establishing a bank of deposit at Amsterdam, viz. that of fixing the residence of trading men in that city.
Another was, to prevent the inconveniencies to which a small state was exposed, by the introduction of bad coin, from all the neighbouring countries in Europe, with whom they traded.
In the territory of Holland there are no mines of gold and silver; consequently all they have comes from other countries, as the return of a favourable balance upon their commerce.
At the time the bank was established, the republic was in a state of infancy; and any coin they had, was that of their old masters the Spaniards. This was unequally coined; many pieces were light; many had been clipped and washed. As they extended their traffic, they were obliged to receive great quantities from Germany, which was still worse.
In order then to prevent the circulation of such coin, and the perplexities occasioned by it in all accounts, they established a bank, and fixed the standard upon a silver coin called the ducatoon, to which they gave the denomination of 3 florins or guilders bank money.
But as this coin also was unequal, like all the rest of the specie in Europe, before the introduction of milled coin, and the policy of weighing piece by piece at the mint, the bank appointed the ducatoons to be received in bags of 200 pieces, weighing together 26 marcs 5 ounces 10 engles of Amsterdam troes, or gold weight; which being reduced to aces, (the lowest denomination in this weight) make 136,640 aces. This divided by 200, gives, for the weight of 1 ducatoon, 683.2 aces.
Let us now convert these aces into troy grains, according to the proportion established between Dutch aces and troy grains, in the last chapter of the third book.
The equation will stand thus,
5192.8 aces, being equal to 3840 troy-grains, 683.2 aces, therefore, will equal 505.21 troy-grains; which, consequently, is the weight of a ducatoon, or of 3 florins bank money of Amsterdam.
Next as to the fineness of this coin:
The ducatoon was coined, according to the imperial standard, of 14 loots 16 grains fine: that is to say, it is 268⁄288 parts fine, and 20⁄288 parts alloy.
To find, therefore, the number of Hollands aces, and of troy grains of fine silver in the ducatoon, state the two following proportions:
288 : 268 :: 683.25 : 635.75 aces fine.
288 : 268 :: 505.21 : 470.13 troy-grains fine.
In the last place, if we divide the number of aces, and troy grains fine in the ducatoon, by 3, we shall see the exact weight of fine silver in 1 florin of Amsterdam bank money.
635.75⁄3 = 211.91 aces, and 470.13⁄3 = 156.71 troy-grains fine.
These calculations premised, it would be an easy thing to fix the exact par of the metals, between sterling and bank money of Amsterdam, were the British coin of legal weight, and were the metals there rightly proportioned. But is it to be supposed, that any person who has bank money of Amsterdam, would exchange, at the par of the metals, with sterling silver, which is many _per cent._ too light, or against English bank notes paid in gold, always overrated with regard to the silver, and often too light also?
While, therefore, the coin of Great Britain stands upon the present footing, all calculations of the par of exchange, as it is commonly computed, upon the intrinsic value of the coins of other nations, must be delusive and of no utility whatever.
For the sake of giving an example, however, here is the real par of the two currencies, upon silver sterling coin of full weight.
One pound sterling should contain, as has been said, of fine silver 1718.7 troy grains, and contains 240 pence sterling: state, therefore, the following proportion, and you will find how many pence sterling one florin of Amsterdam banco should be worth.
1718.7 : 240 :: 156.71 : 21.883.
Thus 21.883 pence sterling is exactly the real par of an Amsterdam florin banco, supposing sterling money to be silver, at the full weight.
The florin bank money being regulated upon the ducatoon, an old species not now coined, the fineness of the silver was determined; and the weight of the 200 ducatoons being determined also, this regulation determined the weight of single pieces, and fixed the standard of the florin banco, in weight and fineness.
The current money in Holland, coined by the state, is the florin of 200.21 aces fine, as we have seen in the last chapter of the preceding book.
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An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Oeconomy (Vol. 2 of 2)Chapter XVII: Part II: Of Banks (6)
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